Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Oct 23rd, 2024

Danielle McIntosh • October 23, 2024

Bank of Canada reduces policy rate by 50 basis points to 3¾%.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

October 23, 2024

The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 3¾%, with the Bank Rate at 4% and the deposit rate at 3¾%. The Bank is continuing its policy of balance sheet normalization.

The Bank continues to expect the global economy to expand at a rate of about 3% over the next two years. Growth in the United States is now expected to be stronger than previously forecast while the outlook for China remains subdued. Growth in the euro area has been soft but should recover modestly next year. Inflation in advanced economies has declined in recent months, and is now around central bank targets. Global financial conditions have eased since July, in part because of market expectations of lower policy interest rates. Global oil prices are about $10 lower than assumed in the July Monetary Policy Report (MPR).

In Canada, the economy grew at around 2% in the first half of the year and we expect growth of 1¾% in the second half. Consumption has continued to grow but is declining on a per person basis. Exports have been boosted by the opening of the Trans Mountain Expansion pipeline. The labour market remains soft—the unemployment rate was at 6.5% in September. Population growth has continued to expand the labour force while hiring has been modest. This has particularly affected young people and newcomers to Canada. Wage growth remains elevated relative to productivity growth. Overall, the economy continues to be in excess supply.

GDP growth is forecast to strengthen gradually over the projection horizon, supported by lower interest rates. This forecast largely reflects the net effect of a gradual pick up in consumer spending per person and slower population growth. Residential investment growth is also projected to rise as strong demand for housing lifts sales and spending on renovations. Business investment is expected to strengthen as demand picks up, and exports should remain strong, supported by robust demand from the United States.

Overall, the Bank forecasts GDP growth of 1.2% in 2024, 2.1% in 2025, and 2.3% in 2026. As the economy strengthens, excess supply is gradually absorbed.

CPI inflation has declined significantly from 2.7% in June to 1.6% in September. Inflation in shelter costs remains elevated but has begun to ease. Excess supply elsewhere in the economy has reduced inflation in the prices of many goods and services. The drop in global oil prices has led to lower gasoline prices. These factors have all combined to bring inflation down. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation are now below 2½%. With inflationary pressures no longer broad-based, business and consumer inflation expectations have largely normalized.

The Bank expects inflation to remain close to the target over the projection horizon, with the upward and downward pressures on inflation roughly balancing out. The upward pressure from shelter and other services gradually diminishes, and the downward pressure on inflation recedes as excess supply in the economy is absorbed.

With inflation now back around the 2% target, Governing Council decided to reduce the policy rate by 50 basis points to support economic growth and keep inflation close to the middle of the 1% to 3% range. If the economy evolves broadly in line with our latest forecast, we expect to reduce the policy rate further. However, the timing and pace of further reductions in the policy rate will be guided by incoming information and our assessment of its implications for the inflation outlook. We will take decisions one meeting at a time. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians by keeping inflation close to the 2% target.

Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is December 11, 2024. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR on January 29, 2025.

Read the October 23rd, 2024 Monetary Report.

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Danielle McIntosh

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What You Need to Know About Porting a Mortgage When Moving

By Danielle McIntosh • September 30, 2026

Porting Your Mortgage: What You Need to Know Before You Rely on It Porting a mortgage means transferring your existing interest rate, remaining term, and outstanding balance from your current home to a new one when you sell and buy again. While some lenders—especially big banks—make porting sound simple, the reality is that porting a mortgage is often complex and far from guaranteed . It’s not a magic solution, and it doesn’t mean you automatically get to keep your old mortgage on your new home. In many ways, porting a mortgage feels like applying for a brand-new one—often with more conditions . Here’s why. 1. You Still Have to Re-Qualify Even though you already have the mortgage, the lender will reassess you. If you: Changed jobs Moved to a new city Are on probation Switched industries or income types …the lender may decline the port. Your previous approval does not carry over automatically. 2. The New Property Must Be Approved The lender also reassesses the new property . Just because they accepted your previous home as collateral doesn’t mean they’ll approve the next one. Expect: A new appraisal A review of the property’s condition Scrutiny around marketability and value If the lender isn’t comfortable with the property, the port can fail. 3. Property Values Rarely Line Up Perfectly Most moves involve a price difference. Buying a more expensive home: You’ll likely need additional funds at a blended rate, which can increase your payment. Buying a less expensive home: You may face a penalty for reducing the mortgage balance. Either scenario can affect your costs. 4. You Still Need a Down Payment Porting doesn’t mean you “swap houses” without cash. You still need: A down payment on the new purchase Closing costs Funds available at the right time This often surprises buyers. 5. Penalties Usually Still Apply (At First) Most lenders: Charge the full mortgage penalty when you sell Refund it only after the port is successfully completed If you’re relying on sale proceeds for your down payment, this temporary penalty can create a cash-flow issue. 6. Timelines Rarely Line Up Perfectly Real estate markets don’t cooperate. You might: Sell quickly but struggle to buy Find a home quickly but wait months to sell Closing dates rarely align, which complicates porting even further. 7. Port Periods Vary by Lender This is where the fine print matters. Depending on the lender, the port window may be: Same day only 30 days 90 days Up to 6 months If the port window is short, both transactions must close within that timeframe—or the port fails. Longer port periods offer flexibility, but also carry the risk of selling first and not finding a replacement property in time. The Bottom Line Porting your mortgage can make sense—especially if you have a strong rate and are buying a similar-priced home. But it is not guaranteed , and it comes with conditions, risks, and timing challenges. Portability is a feature, not a promise. Before you rely on it, it’s important to review all your options , including whether staying with your lender actually makes financial sense. If you’re planning to sell and buy, I’d be happy to walk you through the process, explain your options clearly, and help you decide whether porting is the right move—or if another strategy makes more sense.

What Mortgage Lenders Need to Know About Your Down Payment Source

By Danielle McIntosh • September 23, 2026

Why the Source of Your Down Payment Matters More Than You Think When buying a home, most people focus on how much they need for a down payment. What often gets overlooked is that where the down payment comes from matters just as much to the lender . The source of your down payment affects approval, risk assessment, and how your mortgage is structured. Here’s why lenders care—and what you need to know. 1. Anti–Money Laundering Requirements Lenders aren’t just being cautious—they’re legally required to verify the source of your down payment. To comply with anti–money laundering regulations, lenders must document where every dollar of the down payment came from on every purchase. Acceptable Down Payment Sources Down payments can come from: Your own savings or investments Borrowed funds through an insured program (such as FlexDown) A gift from an immediate family member How You Prove the Source Personal savings: You’ll need bank statements showing the funds have been in your account for at least 90 days , or proof they were accumulated through payroll deposits or other acceptable sources. Borrowed funds: Any borrowed portion must be included in your debt service ratios , since you’re responsible for repayment. Gifted funds: A signed gift letter is required confirming the money is a true gift with no repayment obligation , along with proof the funds were deposited into your account. 2. Financial Suitability and Risk The source of your down payment also tells the lender a lot about your financial habits. Down payments coming from your own savings demonstrate: Positive cash flow The ability to save consistently Strong financial management This reassures lenders that you’re more likely to keep up with mortgage payments. If the down payment is borrowed or gifted, lenders may look more closely at the rest of your application to ensure the mortgage remains affordable. Why a Larger Down Payment Helps From a lender’s perspective, more equity equals lower risk. The more money you have invested in the property, the less likely you are to walk away from the mortgage. This reduces the lender’s exposure and can sometimes result in better terms. 3. Down Payment and Loan-to-Value (LTV) Your down payment directly establishes your loan-to-value ratio (LTV)—the percentage of the property’s value being financed. In Canada: Lenders can finance up to 95% of a property’s value The buyer must contribute at least 5% as a down payment Example: On a $400,000 purchase: Maximum mortgage = $380,000 Minimum down payment = $20,000 How the Source Affects LTV Property value must be genuine and independently supported. Lenders rely on appraisals and comparable sales—not artificial price inflation. If: The seller provides money back The buyer doesn’t bring the full down payment independently Funds move “behind the scenes” …the lender considers this a change to the LTV and may decline the mortgage. All financial details of the purchase must be fully disclosed. Non-disclosure is mortgage fraud , and lenders will not proceed if the numbers don’t align. Final Thoughts Lenders ask for detailed documentation about your down payment source for good reason—it affects legality, risk, and the structure of your mortgage. Understanding these rules upfront helps avoid delays, declined applications, and last-minute surprises. If you’d like to review your down payment options or talk through mortgage financing, feel free to connect anytime. I’d be happy to walk you through the process and help you plan with confidence.