Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Jan 29th, 2025

Danielle McIntosh • January 29, 2025

Bank of Canada reduces policy rate by 25 basis points to 3%, announces end of quantitative tightening.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

January 29, 2025

The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 3%, with the Bank Rate at 3.25% and the deposit rate at 2.95%.1 The Bank is also announcing its plan to complete the normalization of its balance sheet, ending quantitative tightening. The Bank will restart asset purchases in early March, beginning gradually so that its balance sheet stabilizes and then grows modestly, in line with growth in the economy.2

Projections in the January Monetary Policy Report (MPR) published today are subject to more-than-usual uncertainty because of the rapidly evolving policy landscape, particularly the threat of trade tariffs by the new administration in the United States. Since the scope and duration of a possible trade conflict are impossible to predict, this MPR provides a baseline forecast in the absence of new tariffs.

In the MPR projection, the global economy is expected to continue growing by about 3% over the next two years. Growth in the United States has been revised up, mainly due to stronger consumption. Growth in the euro area is likely to be subdued as the region copes with competitiveness pressures. In China, recent policy actions are boosting demand and supporting near-term growth, although structural challenges remain. Since October, financial conditions have diverged across countries. US bond yields have risen, supported by strong growth and more persistent inflation. In contrast, yields in Canada are down slightly. The Canadian dollar has depreciated materially against the US dollar, largely reflecting trade uncertainty and broader strength in the US currency. Oil prices have been volatile and in recent weeks have been about $5 higher than was assumed in the October MPR.

In Canada, past cuts to interest rates have started to boost the economy. The recent strengthening in both consumption and housing activity is expected to continue. However, business investment remains weak. The outlook for exports is being supported by new export capacity for oil and gas.

Canada’s labour market remains soft, with the unemployment rate at 6.7% in December. Job growth has strengthened in recent months, after lagging growth in the labour force for more than a year. Wage pressures, which have proven sticky, are showing some signs of easing.

The Bank forecasts GDP growth will strengthen in 2025. However, with slower population growth because of reduced immigration targets, both GDP and potential growth will be more moderate than was expected in October. Following growth of 1.3% in 2024, the Bank now projects GDP will grow by 1.8% in both 2025 and 2026, somewhat higher than potential growth. As a result, excess supply in the economy is gradually absorbed over the projection horizon.

CPI inflation remains close to 2%, with some volatility due to the temporary suspension of the GST/HST on some consumer products. Shelter price inflation is still elevated but it is easing gradually, as expected. A broad range of indicators, including surveys of inflation expectations and the distribution of price changes among components of the CPI, suggests that underlying inflation is close to 2%. The Bank forecasts CPI inflation will be around the 2% target over the next two years.

Setting aside threatened US tariffs, the upside and downside risks around the outlook are reasonably balanced. However, as discussed in the MPR, a protracted trade conflict would most likely lead to weaker GDP and higher prices in Canada.

With inflation around 2% and the economy in excess supply, Governing Council decided to reduce the policy rate a further 25 basis points to 3%. The cumulative reduction in the policy rate since last June is substantial. Lower interest rates are boosting household spending and, in the outlook published today, the economy is expected to strengthen gradually and inflation to stay close to target. However, if broad-based and significant tariffs were imposed, the resilience of Canada’s economy would be tested. We will be following developments closely and assessing the implications for economic activity, inflation and monetary policy in Canada. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians.

Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is March 12, 2025. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR on April 16, 2025.

Footnotes

1. Effective January 30, the deposit rate will be set at 5 basis points below the Bank’s policy interest rate to improve the effectiveness of monetary policy implementation. For more details, see the market notice published simultaneously with this press release.[←]
2. A market notice published simultaneously with this press release provides operational details.[←]

Read the January 29th, 2025 Monetary Report.

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Danielle McIntosh

Licensed Mortgage Broker

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What You Need to Know About Porting a Mortgage When Moving

By Danielle McIntosh • September 30, 2026

Porting Your Mortgage: What You Need to Know Before You Rely on It Porting a mortgage means transferring your existing interest rate, remaining term, and outstanding balance from your current home to a new one when you sell and buy again. While some lenders—especially big banks—make porting sound simple, the reality is that porting a mortgage is often complex and far from guaranteed . It’s not a magic solution, and it doesn’t mean you automatically get to keep your old mortgage on your new home. In many ways, porting a mortgage feels like applying for a brand-new one—often with more conditions . Here’s why. 1. You Still Have to Re-Qualify Even though you already have the mortgage, the lender will reassess you. If you: Changed jobs Moved to a new city Are on probation Switched industries or income types …the lender may decline the port. Your previous approval does not carry over automatically. 2. The New Property Must Be Approved The lender also reassesses the new property . Just because they accepted your previous home as collateral doesn’t mean they’ll approve the next one. Expect: A new appraisal A review of the property’s condition Scrutiny around marketability and value If the lender isn’t comfortable with the property, the port can fail. 3. Property Values Rarely Line Up Perfectly Most moves involve a price difference. Buying a more expensive home: You’ll likely need additional funds at a blended rate, which can increase your payment. Buying a less expensive home: You may face a penalty for reducing the mortgage balance. Either scenario can affect your costs. 4. You Still Need a Down Payment Porting doesn’t mean you “swap houses” without cash. You still need: A down payment on the new purchase Closing costs Funds available at the right time This often surprises buyers. 5. Penalties Usually Still Apply (At First) Most lenders: Charge the full mortgage penalty when you sell Refund it only after the port is successfully completed If you’re relying on sale proceeds for your down payment, this temporary penalty can create a cash-flow issue. 6. Timelines Rarely Line Up Perfectly Real estate markets don’t cooperate. You might: Sell quickly but struggle to buy Find a home quickly but wait months to sell Closing dates rarely align, which complicates porting even further. 7. Port Periods Vary by Lender This is where the fine print matters. Depending on the lender, the port window may be: Same day only 30 days 90 days Up to 6 months If the port window is short, both transactions must close within that timeframe—or the port fails. Longer port periods offer flexibility, but also carry the risk of selling first and not finding a replacement property in time. The Bottom Line Porting your mortgage can make sense—especially if you have a strong rate and are buying a similar-priced home. But it is not guaranteed , and it comes with conditions, risks, and timing challenges. Portability is a feature, not a promise. Before you rely on it, it’s important to review all your options , including whether staying with your lender actually makes financial sense. If you’re planning to sell and buy, I’d be happy to walk you through the process, explain your options clearly, and help you decide whether porting is the right move—or if another strategy makes more sense.

What Mortgage Lenders Need to Know About Your Down Payment Source

By Danielle McIntosh • September 23, 2026

Why the Source of Your Down Payment Matters More Than You Think When buying a home, most people focus on how much they need for a down payment. What often gets overlooked is that where the down payment comes from matters just as much to the lender . The source of your down payment affects approval, risk assessment, and how your mortgage is structured. Here’s why lenders care—and what you need to know. 1. Anti–Money Laundering Requirements Lenders aren’t just being cautious—they’re legally required to verify the source of your down payment. To comply with anti–money laundering regulations, lenders must document where every dollar of the down payment came from on every purchase. Acceptable Down Payment Sources Down payments can come from: Your own savings or investments Borrowed funds through an insured program (such as FlexDown) A gift from an immediate family member How You Prove the Source Personal savings: You’ll need bank statements showing the funds have been in your account for at least 90 days , or proof they were accumulated through payroll deposits or other acceptable sources. Borrowed funds: Any borrowed portion must be included in your debt service ratios , since you’re responsible for repayment. Gifted funds: A signed gift letter is required confirming the money is a true gift with no repayment obligation , along with proof the funds were deposited into your account. 2. Financial Suitability and Risk The source of your down payment also tells the lender a lot about your financial habits. Down payments coming from your own savings demonstrate: Positive cash flow The ability to save consistently Strong financial management This reassures lenders that you’re more likely to keep up with mortgage payments. If the down payment is borrowed or gifted, lenders may look more closely at the rest of your application to ensure the mortgage remains affordable. Why a Larger Down Payment Helps From a lender’s perspective, more equity equals lower risk. The more money you have invested in the property, the less likely you are to walk away from the mortgage. This reduces the lender’s exposure and can sometimes result in better terms. 3. Down Payment and Loan-to-Value (LTV) Your down payment directly establishes your loan-to-value ratio (LTV)—the percentage of the property’s value being financed. In Canada: Lenders can finance up to 95% of a property’s value The buyer must contribute at least 5% as a down payment Example: On a $400,000 purchase: Maximum mortgage = $380,000 Minimum down payment = $20,000 How the Source Affects LTV Property value must be genuine and independently supported. Lenders rely on appraisals and comparable sales—not artificial price inflation. If: The seller provides money back The buyer doesn’t bring the full down payment independently Funds move “behind the scenes” …the lender considers this a change to the LTV and may decline the mortgage. All financial details of the purchase must be fully disclosed. Non-disclosure is mortgage fraud , and lenders will not proceed if the numbers don’t align. Final Thoughts Lenders ask for detailed documentation about your down payment source for good reason—it affects legality, risk, and the structure of your mortgage. Understanding these rules upfront helps avoid delays, declined applications, and last-minute surprises. If you’d like to review your down payment options or talk through mortgage financing, feel free to connect anytime. I’d be happy to walk you through the process and help you plan with confidence.